Mounting evidence indicates the Iranian rocket recently used to launch a satellite into space was a more advanced two-stage, rather than three-stage, vehicle. According to the calculations of David Wright [2] of the Ploughshares-funded Union of Concerned Scientists [3], a more advanced two-stage rocket is more likely. Geoffrey Forden [4] of MIT [5]reports that “a three-stage vehicle could never lift a nuclear warhead very far. But you can use this two-stage vehicle with more powerful fuel to lift a nuclear warhead farther." Europe would be within range of missiles launched from Iran either way, says Forden. However, even the more advanced rocket could not carry a nuclear warhead as far as the U.S., Wright says.
Links
[1] https://ploughshares.org/file/195
[2] http://ploughshares.org/expert.php?id=143
[3] http://www.ucsusa.org/nuclear_weapons_and_global_security/
[4] http://ploughshares.org/expert.php?id=182
[5] http://web.mit.edu/stgs/
[6] https://ploughshares.org/sites/default/files/newss/Wright%20-%20Model%20of%20Safir%20Launch%20Vehicle.pdf
[7] http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16619-evidence-is-mounting-that-iran-used-beefedup-rocket.html